Boston University
W-L: ( 7-10) PR = 93.9974Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 0-13 206 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 3- 0 206 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 2- 1 213 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 2- 6 213 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 0- 3 214 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 3- 5 214 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 1- 6 220 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 9-10 221 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 1- 6 222 A Incarnate Word SL ( 4-10, 90.2) 20- 1 225 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 9- 8 227 A Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 6- 4 228 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 3- 6 228 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 10- 5 515 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 6- 8 516 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 4- 9 516 H Marist MAAC ( 3-10, 89.3) 10- 2
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A UCF 0-13 -13 -3 --- -10.01
206 A Maryland 3- 0 3 3 0.00
206 H Duke 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.87
213 A South Carolina 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.29
213 H Louisville 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.19
214 A Louisville 3- 5 -2 -2 0.30
214 A South Carolina 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.29
220 A Charlotte 9-10 -1 1 -1.95
221 A Marshall 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.39
222 A Incarnate Word 20- 1 19 3 +++ 10.97
225 A Duke 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.36
227 A Northwestern 6- 4 2 -2 ++ 4.17
228 H Northwestern 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.31
228 A Ohio State 10- 5 5 -1 ++ 5.59
515 A Ole Miss 6- 8 -2 -2 0.04
516 H Ole Miss 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.44
516 H Marist 10- 2 8 5 + 2.56
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 A UCF 0-13 -13 -3 --- -10.01 221 A Marshall 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.39 516 H Ole Miss 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.44 213 A South Carolina 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.29 213 H Louisville 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.19 214 A South Carolina 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.29 228 H Northwestern 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.31 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Incarnate Word 20- 1 19 3 +++ 10.97 225 A Duke 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.36 227 A Northwestern 6- 4 2 -2 ++ 4.17 228 A Ohio State 10- 5 5 -1 ++ 5.59 206 H Duke 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.87 516 H Marist 10- 2 8 5 + 2.56 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 0-13 -3.65 15.72 0.74 1.48 -2.16
3 A Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 3- 0 -9.64 9.73 0.74 1.48 31.04
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 2- 1 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 1.48 45.49
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 2- 6 -4.93 14.44 0.74 1.48 -3.11
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 0- 3 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 1.48 -3.77
3 A Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 3- 5 -4.35 15.02 0.74 1.48 -2.67
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 1- 6 -4.93 14.44 0.74 1.48 -3.11
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 9-10 -7.60 11.77 0.74 1.48 -5.08
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 1- 6 -6.03 13.34 0.74 1.48 -3.92
3 A Incarnate Word ( 4-10, 90.2) 20- 1 -9.68 9.69 0.74 1.48 30.94
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 9- 8 -3.29 16.08 0.74 1.48 49.89
3 A Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 6- 4 -4.47 14.90 0.74 1.48 46.37
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 3- 6 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 1.48 -3.87
3 A Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 10- 5 -6.05 13.32 0.74 1.48 41.69
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 6- 8 -4.60 14.77 0.74 1.48 -2.86
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 4- 9 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 1.48 -3.96
3 H Marist ( 3-10, 89.3) 10- 2 -10.60 8.77 -0.74 1.48 23.80
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234.72
|
winning pts = 269.2230 losing points = -34.5073
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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